Nir Rosen has a piece in the December Atlantic Monthly entitled "If America Left Iraq: The case for cutting and running." Rosen poses the following questions and answers them all himself:

Would the withdrawal of U.S. troops ignite a civil war between Sunnis and Shiites?

No. That civil war is already under way—in large part because of the American presence. The longer the United States stays, the more it fuels Sunni hostility toward Shiite "collaborators." Were America not in Iraq, Sunni leaders could negotiate and participate without fear that they themselves would be branded traitors and collaborators by their constituents. Sunni leaders have said this in official public statements; leaders of the resistance have told me the same thing in private.

On Dec. 4, a group of approximately 200 uniformed and armed men, identified as members of the Bloque Norte of the AUC paramilitary movement, under the command of "Jorge 40," entered the hamlets (veredas) La Más Verde y Nuevo Horizonte, in the district (corregimiento) of Santa Isabel, Curumaní municipality, Cesar department; various abuses against the civil population were reported, and several people were detained of which 22 were later found dead of gunshot and stab wounds. (Asociación Minga, Dec. 10 via Red de Defensores)

The world is paying little note, but China may have a full-scale peasant revolt on its hands soon. The hideous irony is that the American idiot left, rather than loaning solidarity to the heroic Chinese peasants, will cheer on their oppressors in the name of (a now wholly fictional) "socialism." Bush, meanwhile, will use the Beijing regime's human rights abuses against the peasants as a lever to pry further economic concessions (privatization of land and resources, dropping of trade barriers) which will only make the lot of the peasantry even worse, disenfranchising them of what little autonomy and self-sufficiency they have left. From AFP via al-Jazeera, Dec. 7:

This analysis recognizes that the US military presence in Iraq is ultimately counter-productive to a recovery of the country's oil industry. But it seems to assume that US leaders are capable of smelling the coffee and getting out. It fails to recognize the danger (to US elites) of a power vacuum that could result in the world's second greatest oil reserves (and concomitant geo-strategic power) falling into the hands of an imperial rival (China, Russia, even France)—or, worse still, Iran or a local Taliban-type regime.

Iraqi oil industry in crisis

Israeli Defense Minister Shaul Mofaz has responded the latest ant-Israel tirade by Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad y saying that Israel must prepare solutions "other than diplomatic" in the face of Tehran's nuclear program. "The right move would be to let a diplomatic approach guide us, but we must also prepare other solutions," Mofaz said on a campaign tour for the Likud leadership primaries in Tel Aviv. Mofaz referred to Ahmadinejad as an "Israel hater," adding "the combination of extreme hatred and nuclear capabilities certainly threatens the State of Israel and Western countries." (Xinhua, Dec. 9) Israel, while denying plans to attack Iran, is expanding its military arsenal in preparation for such an attack. It has recently acquired dozens of warplanes with long-range fuel tanks to allow them to reach Iran, and it also signed a deal with Germany for two submarines reportedly capable of firing long-range missiles. (AP, Dec. 9) Iran, in turn, is turning to Russia to develop an anti-missile defense system. "Is this a problem? Do we need permission?" said Ali Larijani, secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, in response to reports that Tehran has bought 29 mobile air defense systems from Moscow in a $700 million contract. (Iran Mania, Dec. 9)

A voice of unassailable moral credibility—we hope—is added to chorus demanding release of the four hostages from the Christian Peacemaker Teams in Iraq.

LONDON (Reuters) - A former Guantanamo Bay detainee has pleaded for the release of peace worker Norman Kember and three other hostages held in Iraq.

In the spirit of laughing with tears in your eyes (or, as Wavy Gravy put it, demanding your right to bring a whoopie-cushion to Auschwitz), file this under "Leftist Conspiracy Theorists Vindicated Again." From the BBC, Dec. 9:

The US has admitted for the first time that it has not given the Red Cross access to all detainees in its custody.

The state department's top legal adviser, John Bellinger, made the admission but gave no details about where such prisoners were held.

Correspondents say the revelation is likely to increase suspicion that the CIA has been operating secret prisons outside international oversight.

You can't make this stuff up. From the Jerusalem Post, Dec. 8:

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad continued his anti-Israel rhetoric Thursday afternoon, denying the Holocaust and calling on Germany and Austria to create a Jewish State within their borders, Israel Radio reported.

"We do not believe that Hitler killed six million Jews, but even if this is true by some chance, then why should the Palestinians pay the price for it," he asked, and suggested that the governments in Vienna and Berlin concede two or three provinces to the Zionists and settle the Israeli-Palestinian conflict once and for all.